• Adams Financial Concepts,  Financial Planning,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    The Tortoise and the Hare

    What does a 544 mile marathon have to do with investments? I’d say they have quite a few parallels. The race is run across Australia, from Sydney to Melbourne, every year. Most of the competitors are young, athletic, and decked out in the latest running gear. After all, the 544 mile marathon lasts over 5 days. But in 1983, a 61-year-old potato farmer in overalls and work boots by the name of Clifford Young showed up to run the race. He ran without his dentures because he said they rattled when he ran. Young ran at a slow pace, and by the end of the first day he was behind…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  COVID-19,  Current Events,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    5 Lessons from 2020 Hindsight

    Do you know of anyone who predicted the pandemic? Anyone who guessed we would enter 2020 and within months see a pandemic that would result in over 1.6 million deaths? Who could have predicted that the United States would be the country with the highest number of cases and the highest number of deaths? Who could have predicted the market would drop 34%, only to recover to an almost normal ~14% gain by the end of the year? Frankly, no one. Looking back on 2020, here are five important lessons that I and all investors should learn: 1. Black Swans happen. Every so often in a bevy of white swans,…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  Current Events,  Financial Planning,  Mile High View,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    Higher Returns

    I believe that higher returns do not mean higher risk. Let me say it again: I believe that higher returns do not mean higher risk. Albert Einstein stated: “No matter how, where or when or by whom measured the speed of light in a vacuum is constant.” That sums up the scientific method. There are no exceptions. NONE! If someone were to find an exception, the whole theory is invalid. Since Irving Fisher in the 1920s, economists have been trying to find the theories and laws that govern the stock market. The “Efficient Market Curve” has been proposed and is generally accepted as rational and logical. It is the concept…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  COVID-19,  Current Events,  Mile High View

    Climate & Migration

    No matter what you think of climate change, some facts are undeniable. That is to say, there are going to be investment opportunities, and if you want to benefit your investments by investing on the long side in those companies with the best chance to succeed and short those that won’t rise to the challenge, then I believe what I am about to share is important to understand. You have likely experienced a microcosm of how the greenhouse effect works in your daily life. During the summer, you have the air conditioning running in the car even when the temperature outside is a moderate 75⁰ F. Inside the car, you…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  COVID-19,  Current Events,  The Investment Industry

    Four Truths No Matter Who Wins the Election

    There are dozens of pundits and talking heads making claims about what happens to the stock market depending upon who wins the 2020 Presidential Election. Some claims are outrageous. Some claims are fantasy. Some claims are straight-up weird. So, what should investors make of all this? Here are four truths I believe will hold no matter who wins the election. 1. The stock markets have done well under both Democrat and Republican Presidents. I realize some of the presidential terms have been eight years and, in the case of Presidents Ford and Trump, less than four years in length. But the point is this: stock markets have done well under…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  Financial Planning,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    Cutting Your Taxes In Half or More

    Choosing the right portfolio structure can reduce your taxes by 50% or more. That is a hidden benefit of building tax efficient portfolios. My passion is to create and maintain wealth for our clients, and one way to do so is pick superior stocks to get superior returns. In addition to that, at AFC our focus is to build wealth in ways which also keep taxes low. Ordinary income rates are almost twice of what long-term capital gain rates are for those in the higher tax brackets. A portfolio that moves in and out of stocks over a shorter-term time frame will generate short-term gains which result in marginal tax…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  COVID-19,  Current Events,  The Investment Industry

    Why the Market Drop?

    You’ve heard the expression “The market is telling us … [fill in the blank]”. The reality is that the market cannot talk, cannot do a ZOOM meeting, cannot send us an email. It is not the market talking, it is the investors – human investors and  computer algorithms. To understand why this market drop I believe it begins with the process. When you buy a stock, you buy it with the expectation that it will rise in value. When you sell short a stock, you sell with the expectation the stock price will sink. Financial companies and institutions hire analysts whose job is to forecast future revenues and income. They…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  COVID-19,  Current Events,  Financial Planning,  Mile High View,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    Is It Luck or Skill?

    Doesn’t it make you feel comfortable to live in an orderly and predictable world? Isn’t that especially true when it comes to investments? Haven’t you heard that the markets do not like uncertainty? But isn’t it also true that the only constant in the world is change? In spite of that, our human brains have evolved to downplay the role of luck in our lives. That is why most investors like a financial plan that lays out the next 20 or 30 or 40 years of our financial lives. There in black and white, or more probably in a rainbow of colors, is the map of our financial future. It…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    Is Your Money Being “Stolen”?

    Hypothetically, say you had a brokerage account worth $5 million, and when you got your statement you saw that the financial advisor had taken $3 million out of your account and transferred it to his. How would you feel? Would you just accept it because the financial advisor is so personable and nice, almost like a friend? Would you send in more money? Would you ask for an updated financial plan to see how you could live on $2 million? Then, suppose the financial advisor met with you, said you were right on track to meet your long-term goals, and then he removed another 70%? How would you feel? What…