• Adams Financial Concepts,  Financial Planning,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    Cutting Your Taxes In Half or More

    Choosing the right portfolio structure can reduce your taxes by 50% or more. That is a hidden benefit of building tax efficient portfolios. My passion is to create and maintain wealth for our clients, and one way to do so is pick superior stocks to get superior returns. In addition to that, at AFC our focus is to build wealth in ways which also keep taxes low. Ordinary income rates are almost twice of what long-term capital gain rates are for those in the higher tax brackets. A portfolio that moves in and out of stocks over a shorter-term time frame will generate short-term gains which result in marginal tax…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  COVID-19,  Current Events,  Financial Planning,  Mile High View,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    Is It Luck or Skill?

    Doesn’t it make you feel comfortable to live in an orderly and predictable world? Isn’t that especially true when it comes to investments? Haven’t you heard that the markets do not like uncertainty? But isn’t it also true that the only constant in the world is change? In spite of that, our human brains have evolved to downplay the role of luck in our lives. That is why most investors like a financial plan that lays out the next 20 or 30 or 40 years of our financial lives. There in black and white, or more probably in a rainbow of colors, is the map of our financial future. It…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  Financial Planning,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    The Amazing Power of Compound Interest

    Albert Einstein called it the Eighth Wonder of the World. He elaborated saying: “He who understands it, earns it; he who doesn’t, pays it.” Einstein was referring to compound interest. A little bit makes a big difference. You wouldn’t think the difference between 5% and 10% over 25 years would be that much, but if you invest $100,000 at 5% for 25 years you will have a nice, tidy sum of $ 338,635. Doesn’t that sound pretty nice? Most financial plans are geared for that type of return. But what would it be if that $100,000 grew at 10% over those 25 years? Before you read on, take a guess…

  • Current Events,  Mile High View,  Super Cycle

    What in the World is Happening to the Stock Market?

    Did you know that 60% of the revenues for companies in the S&P 500 are generated overseas, outside the United States?[1] It is important when looking forward to stock market performance in 2020 and beyond to understand what is happening to the world GDP and world economy. This is the first of two eLetters in which I will give you my views on the stock market in 2020. The best analysis I have seen was done in 2011 and is, in my opinion, still valid today. Standard Chartered Bank, a large bank based in London, released a study in which they state that the world is in a “worldwide economic…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  Current Events,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    What Is Factor Investing?

    The latest fad in investing is “Factor Investing”, according to the August edition of Financial Adviser Magazine. Like a bad fad diet, these investment methods come around every few years (factor investing dates back to the 1970s[1]) and claim to have found a method for stock picking that will win every time. Factor investing relies on five genuine factors which are, according to academics, Value, Quality, Momentum, Size, and Volatility. When it comes to understanding investment methodologies, I find it helpful to imagine them along a line: I am an active investor. Does this top-down investment methodology work? I don’t think so; as an active investor with a bottoms-up approach,…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  Return on Investment

    Indices

    Have you heard the story of the Baltimore Stockbroker? It goes… one day, you receive a letter in the mail from a stockbroker, personally addressed to you, predicting that next month a certain stock will go down. You keep an eye on that stock, and it does indeed go down. You receive another personal letter from the stockbroker, predicting that another stock will go up next month. Curious now, you watch that stock over the next month and lo and behold, it does indeed go up! And month after month for ten months, this same stockbroker sends you letters accurately predicting the ups and downs of stocks. At the end,…

  • Current Events,  Mile High View

    Recession Indicator Flashing Red – Is it time to head to the exits?

    “Dow falls 460 as US Recession Indicator Flashing Red” reads a CNN Headline from last Friday. Is it time to head for the exits? Are we tumbling into a recession? The “bond vigilantes” are out in force waving the caution flags. But could there be another explanation? What is the red flag? The yield on 3-month treasuries is now higher than the yield on the 10 year treasury bond, a condition known as “inverted yield curve”. The yield curve is a graph of interest rates on the vertical axis and the length of time on the horizontal. In the past and inverted yield curve has correctly predicted 9 of the…

  • Current Events,  Return on Investment

    What do WWII Planes and Investment Strategy have in Common?

    What do missing bullet holes in World War II aircraft and investing in today’s market have in common? Let’s begin by explaining the importance of the “missing” bullet holes. When telling stories of war like World War II it is only natural to think of the action, but there were silent thinkers who also contributed. The Statistical Research Group (SRG) was charged with determining how to armor the aircraft to reduce the number of planes shot down by the enemy. With too much armor, the planes were slower and could more easily be shot down, and with too little, the planes could not survive the bullet hits. The SRG began…