• COVID-19,  Current Events,  Financial Planning,  Mile High View,  Super Cycle,  The Investment Industry

    Don’t Be Fooled!!

    The rapid recovery of the market in 2020 was exceptional. Don’t count on a repeat during the next big sell off. Instead, plan for a “Margin of Safety” in your portfolio. The bounce back of 2020 is the shortest on record. Most market recoveries take a lot longer. If counted in inflation adjusted terms, the drop that began in 1966 did not recover for 30 years. Stocks hits 1,000 on the DOW in 1966 and then bounced up and down for 16 years before going on to new highs. But inflation roared during that time and devalued the dollar by 70%. It took three times as many dollars on the…

  • Current Events,  Financial Planning,  Mile High View

    Inflation: Now Is the Time to Prepare

    Beware the slow “creep” that could devalue your investments. In their book, The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival, Charles Goodhart and Manoj Pradhan make the point that changing demographics has the potential to reduce the value of your portfolio.[1] Since the end of World War II, there have been several major changes in the supply of labor. First, there were the baby boomers born from 1946 to 1964; eighteen years later, they powered a surge of 75 million new young fresh faces that led a migration from cities to suburbs and prompted a building boom in housing, schools, fast food, and shopping malls. They…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  Financial Planning,  Mile High View,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    How We Achieve High Returns

    Peter Lynch called them “10 baggers”. Some people call them “home runs”. Some authors describe them as “long tails”. They have been called “high-fliers”.  What are they? They are stocks that will grow ten-fold or more. The strategy at Adams Financial Concepts, LLC (AFC) and for Mike Adams, even before founding AFC, has been to search for those companies with the potential to be 10-baggers and to do that in portfolios with a limited number of total holdings. When there are 300 stocks in a portfolio the 10-bagger will make little difference on the total portfolio performance. But in a portfolio of eight to ten stocks, one high flier can…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  Financial Planning,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    The Tortoise and the Hare

    What does a 544 mile marathon have to do with investments? I’d say they have quite a few parallels. The race is run across Australia, from Sydney to Melbourne, every year. Most of the competitors are young, athletic, and decked out in the latest running gear. After all, the 544 mile marathon lasts over 5 days. But in 1983, a 61-year-old potato farmer in overalls and work boots by the name of Clifford Young showed up to run the race. He ran without his dentures because he said they rattled when he ran. Young ran at a slow pace, and by the end of the first day he was behind…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  Current Events,  Financial Planning,  Mile High View,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    Higher Returns

    I believe that higher returns do not mean higher risk. Let me say it again: I believe that higher returns do not mean higher risk. Albert Einstein stated: “No matter how, where or when or by whom measured the speed of light in a vacuum is constant.” That sums up the scientific method. There are no exceptions. NONE! If someone were to find an exception, the whole theory is invalid. Since Irving Fisher in the 1920s, economists have been trying to find the theories and laws that govern the stock market. The “Efficient Market Curve” has been proposed and is generally accepted as rational and logical. It is the concept…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  Financial Planning,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    Cutting Your Taxes In Half or More

    Choosing the right portfolio structure can reduce your taxes by 50% or more. That is a hidden benefit of building tax efficient portfolios. My passion is to create and maintain wealth for our clients, and one way to do so is pick superior stocks to get superior returns. In addition to that, at AFC our focus is to build wealth in ways which also keep taxes low. Ordinary income rates are almost twice of what long-term capital gain rates are for those in the higher tax brackets. A portfolio that moves in and out of stocks over a shorter-term time frame will generate short-term gains which result in marginal tax…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  COVID-19,  Current Events,  Financial Planning,  Mile High View,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    Is It Luck or Skill?

    Doesn’t it make you feel comfortable to live in an orderly and predictable world? Isn’t that especially true when it comes to investments? Haven’t you heard that the markets do not like uncertainty? But isn’t it also true that the only constant in the world is change? In spite of that, our human brains have evolved to downplay the role of luck in our lives. That is why most investors like a financial plan that lays out the next 20 or 30 or 40 years of our financial lives. There in black and white, or more probably in a rainbow of colors, is the map of our financial future. It…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  Financial Planning,  Return on Investment,  The Investment Industry

    Good News – Bad News – Good News

    This is a good news-bad news case study. I was a fairly new stock broker in 1987 (that is what they called us before we became “Financial Advisors”). I opened an account  or a retired postman who had his pension but had also saved $216,000 for retirement. The client decided to split his $216,000 between me and a broker at another major brokerage house. He had never married and had no children. In the months that followed, I would suggest each time we talked that he consolidate the monies with me. I am pretty certain the other broker was suggesting he be given the total as well. With little traction,…

  • Adams Financial Concepts,  COVID-19,  Current Events,  Financial Planning,  Mile High View

    Change Is Difficult

    The question is this: does the value you are receiving now justify staying put. After all, change is usually difficult. Have you really evaluated what value you are receiving right now? Do you remember Harry Truman: not President Truman, but Harry Randall Truman? Harry Truman lived on the south end of Spirit Lake at the base of Mount St. Helens. He had owned and operated a recreation and fishing lodge for decades. He called the mountain his friend and claimed a deep relationship with it. He had watched the puffs of ash and had become an expert in the earthquakes. Those tremors had become more frequent in 1979 and 1980.…